Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2.272782e-05 2.729832e-05 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060
2025-06-22 1.643343e-05 2.211792e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072
2025-06-29 1.198402e-05 1.796149e-05 0.000025 0.000035 0.000048 0.000062 0.000081
2025-07-06 8.664737e-06 1.448267e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088
2025-07-13 6.635109e-06 1.230149e-05 0.000020 0.000032 0.000048 0.000069 0.000096
2025-07-20 5.294460e-06 1.083560e-05 0.000019 0.000032 0.000050 0.000073 0.000105
2025-07-27 4.325337e-06 9.744031e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000052 0.000078 0.000115
2025-08-03 3.958767e-06 9.588741e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000057 0.000087 0.000129
2025-08-10 3.160289e-06 8.487084e-06 0.000018 0.000034 0.000057 0.000090 0.000138
2025-08-17 2.301158e-06 7.048380e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000056 0.000091 0.000141
2025-08-24 1.716210e-06 6.005230e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000056 0.000092 0.000147
2025-08-31 1.364707e-06 5.385542e-06 0.000014 0.000030 0.000057 0.000096 0.000155
2025-09-07 1.003229e-06 4.675866e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000058 0.000101 0.000165
2025-09-14 6.857828e-07 3.923520e-06 0.000012 0.000029 0.000059 0.000104 0.000173
2025-09-21 4.227355e-07 3.148119e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000058 0.000105 0.000179
2025-09-28 2.303694e-07 2.422431e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000056 0.000105 0.000183
2025-10-05 1.339327e-07 1.987445e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000057 0.000108 0.000191
2025-10-12 8.130818e-08 1.705515e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000058 0.000112 0.000201
2025-10-19 4.954318e-08 1.497724e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000059 0.000117 0.000213
2025-10-26 4.261402e-08 1.517525e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000064 0.000128 0.000232
2025-11-02 2.101413e-08 1.277329e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000065 0.000131 0.000242
2025-11-09 5.646144e-09 9.552070e-07 0.000007 0.000025 0.000063 0.000131 0.000245
2025-11-16 1.033624e-09 7.384438e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000063 0.000132 0.000251